Presenting a future grounded in evidence.
That responsibility lies with us.
In August 2025, the Cabinet Office released a simulation video entitled “The Impact of a Large-Scale Mt. Fuji Eruption and its Fallout.” The video uses CG and actual footage to show what kind of phenomena would occur and what kind of impact there would be if Mt. Fuji were to erupt on a large scale. Amidst concerns about the possibility of a Nankai Trough earthquake or an earthquake with an epicenter directly beneath the Tokyo metropolitan area, the Cabinet Office has also released similar simulation videos for such earthquakes.
“The CG imagery depicting eruptions, fallout, and the destruction of buildings and roads in such simulation videos may serve as a warning for new natural disasters. However, such images are merely imaginary. As a researcher, I aim to develop simulations based on physics and to present what could actually happen,” says Ciara Galvin, a graduate student at the Department of Civil and Environmental Engineering, the Graduate School of Engineering, Tohoku University.
As a member of the Mathematical System Design Laboratory that works on forecasting and assessing the strength and deformation properties of materials and structures using mathematical methods, Ms. Galvin has been developing simulation techniques for damage caused by debris flow that includes driftwood. She says, “In recent torrential rains, debris flow that contains driftwood has occurred in several areas. I believe that if we can predict the damage caused by the accumulation of driftwood or by river channel blockages through simulation, such predictions could help local governments prepare for disasters.”
Ms. Galvin describes the laboratory she belongs to as a “place where we can conduct analyses based on physics while utilizing mathematics to the fullest extent.” She says, “Those of us working in university laboratories have the responsibility to present to society a future grounded in evidence.”
